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stdClass Object ( [id] => 1123244 [title] => Ugledna internacionalna meteo-tvrtka izradila dugoročnu prognozu za Dalmaciju: evo što nas očekuje u rujnu, listopadu i studenom [alias] => ugledna-internacionalna-meteo-tvrtka-izradila-dugorocnu-prognozu-za-dalmaciju-evo-sto-nas-ocekuje-u-rujnu-listopadu-i-studenom [catid] => 306 [published] => 1 [introtext] => [fulltext] =>

Ugledna američka meteo-tvrtka Accweather radi dugoročne prognoze, pa su tako napravili i onu za Split i Dalmaciju. Evo, kakvo će nam vrijeme, po Amerikancima, biti tijekom rujna, listopada i studenog.

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Međutim, objektivna ili računalna prognoza je izravan rezultat nekog atmosferskog prognostičkog modela, bez utjecaja prognostičara. Zbog toga se objektivne i subjektivne prognoze mogu znatno razlikovati. Stoga, izravne objektivne računalne prognoze potrebno je uzeti s oprezom.

"Točnost najboljih modela je prosječno oko 95 posto za treći dan prognoze, oko 85 posto za peti dan te oko 70 posto za sedmi dan. Za deseti dan unaprijed točnost je manja od 50 posto. Dakle, ako planirate izlet za 15 dana, morate imati na umu da je prognoza koju vidite na mobitelu za taj dan danas možda točna, ali je vjerojatnost za to oko 40 posto, tako da je možda i posve pogrešna", rekla je svojedobno za 'Slobodnu' dr. sc. Nataša Strelec Mahović, meteorologinja.

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Ugledna američka meteo-tvrtka Accweather radi dugoročne prognoze, pa su tako napravili i onu za Split i Dalmaciju. Evo, kakvo će nam vrijeme, po Amerikancima, biti tijekom rujna, listopada i studenog.

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Međutim, objektivna ili računalna prognoza je izravan rezultat nekog atmosferskog prognostičkog modela, bez utjecaja prognostičara. Zbog toga se objektivne i subjektivne prognoze mogu znatno razlikovati. Stoga, izravne objektivne računalne prognoze potrebno je uzeti s oprezom.

"Točnost najboljih modela je prosječno oko 95 posto za treći dan prognoze, oko 85 posto za peti dan te oko 70 posto za sedmi dan. Za deseti dan unaprijed točnost je manja od 50 posto. Dakle, ako planirate izlet za 15 dana, morate imati na umu da je prognoza koju vidite na mobitelu za taj dan danas možda točna, ali je vjerojatnost za to oko 40 posto, tako da je možda i posve pogrešna", rekla je svojedobno za 'Slobodnu' dr. sc. Nataša Strelec Mahović, meteorologinja.

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StoryEditorOCM
RegionalACCUWEATHER

Ugledna internacionalna meteo-tvrtka izradila dugoročnu prognozu za Dalmaciju: evo što nas očekuje u rujnu, listopadu i studenom

Piše N. P.
28. kolovoza 2021. - 16:44
19125348
Galerija
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Ugledna američka meteo-tvrtka Accweather radi dugoročne prognoze, pa su tako napravili i onu za Split i Dalmaciju. Evo, kakvo će nam vrijeme, po Amerikancima, biti tijekom rujna, listopada i studenog.

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Međutim, objektivna ili računalna prognoza je izravan rezultat nekog atmosferskog prognostičkog modela, bez utjecaja prognostičara. Zbog toga se objektivne i subjektivne prognoze mogu znatno razlikovati. Stoga, izravne objektivne računalne prognoze potrebno je uzeti s oprezom.

"Točnost najboljih modela je prosječno oko 95 posto za treći dan prognoze, oko 85 posto za peti dan te oko 70 posto za sedmi dan. Za deseti dan unaprijed točnost je manja od 50 posto. Dakle, ako planirate izlet za 15 dana, morate imati na umu da je prognoza koju vidite na mobitelu za taj dan danas možda točna, ali je vjerojatnost za to oko 40 posto, tako da je možda i posve pogrešna", rekla je svojedobno za 'Slobodnu' dr. sc. Nataša Strelec Mahović, meteorologinja.

#DUGOROČNA PROGNOZA#ACCUWEATHER
15. svibanj 2024 11:47